2926 La Cienega Blvd, Culver City, CA 90232

Site feasibility · generated 2026-04-22 02:02 UTC · tract 06037702400

Recommendation

Proceed with **ev_tesla_supercharger_business** (fit=0.89)
0.89overall site score / 1.00
EV streamlined permit: yes SCE territory Culver City zoning ZIP 90232 ZEV share 13.5%
The engine scored 10 candidate verticals against the site's data signals (traffic, demographics, competition, permit path, grid readiness). This is the engine's top-line recommendation — not a replacement for broker / legal review, but a ranked starting point.

Top-3 Verticals

The three highest-scoring candidate uses for this address. Each card shows the fit score (0–1 composite), estimated capex, projected annual revenue, and payback years. Hover the full ranking below for all 10.
Tesla Supercharger for Business (hybrid)
ev_tesla_supercharger_business
Fit 0.89 · capex $319,000 · rev $1,185,370 · payback 0.6yr
Tesla's new April-2026 program — you buy 8 V4 Supercharger stalls (~$940k all-in) and install them on your lot, then operate them as part of Tesla's network. You pay Tesla $0.10/kWh for software, payment processing, 97% uptime SLA, and access to 3M+ US Tesla-driver funnel. You set retail price and keep the margin. Network-effect drives 2–3× the utilization of a generic DCFC hub at the same site.
EV Host-Site Lease (Tesla / EVgo / EA)
ev_host_site_lease
Fit 0.82 · capex $0 · rev $49,260 · payback
Passive-landlord play: lease the lot to a major EV charging network (Tesla Supercharger, EVgo, Electrify America, BP Pulse, Shell Recharge) under their 15–20 year host-site program. They bring 100% of capex, equipment, utility upgrades, maintenance, insurance, and session revenue. You collect ~$300–600/stall/month ground rent plus occasional 2–5% session revenue share. Zero operational burden, zero capital at risk.
EV DC Fast-Charging Hub
ev_dcfc_hub
Fit 0.81 · capex $488,400 · rev $202,476 · payback 4.3yr
A public-facing 4-port DC Fast Charging station (150–350 kW per port). Drivers stop for 20–40 minutes to add 150–250 miles of range. Think EVgo, Electrify America, or a Tesla Supercharger. Revenue from retail electricity markup ($0.50–0.60/kWh) plus LCFS credits. Works best on arterial corridors near freeway access.

Vertical Ranking

Every candidate vertical with its sub-scores. Click any column header to sort. See the legend below for what each score actually means.

How to read the scores

Fit (0–1)
Overall quality of the match between this vertical and the site. It's a weighted blend of the four sub-scores below. Green ≥ 0.60 = strong fit. Yellow 0.40–0.60 = mixed. Red < 0.40 = weak.
Traffic
Does enough passing-by car volume support this use? 1.0 = strong arterial exposure. 0.0 = too quiet for a customer-facing retail concept.
Demo (Demographics)
Does the local income, age, and population density match this vertical's target customer? 1.0 = ideal customer profile. 0.0 = wrong audience.
Compete (Competition)
How crowded the category already is nearby. 1.0 = open market, few competitors. 0.0 = saturated, tough to win share.
Permit
How easy getting approvals will be. 0.9+ = streamlined admin permit (EV chargers in Culver City). 0.5 = discretionary CUP process (many months, can be denied).
Capex
Estimated upfront cost to build the project — equipment, construction, tenant improvements. For EV, shown net of available rebates and the 30C tax credit.
Revenue
Projected annual gross revenue at stabilization. Planning estimate, not a commitment — real-world can swing ±30%.
Payback
Years of net cash flow to recoup capex. Under 4 years is strong for commercial real estate. 8+ years usually means the economics don't work without creative capital.
# Vertical Fit Traffic Demo Compete Permit Capex Revenue Payback
1
Tesla Supercharger for Business (hybrid)
ev_tesla_supercharger_business
0.890.771.000.650.90$319,000$1,185,3700.6y
2
EV Host-Site Lease (Tesla / EVgo / EA)
ev_host_site_lease
0.820.771.000.650.95$0$49,260
3
EV DC Fast-Charging Hub
ev_dcfc_hub
0.810.771.000.650.90$488,400$202,4764.3y
4
Ghost Kitchen / Commissary
ghost_kitchen
0.740.500.751.000.70$2,650,000$1,400,0003.8y
5
Convenience Store (no fuel)
convenience_store
0.651.000.300.500.70$1,750,000$2,100,0006.9y
6
EV Level-2 Destination Charging
ev_l2_destination
0.640.871.000.000.90$0$2,988
7
Medical / Dental Office Building
medical_office
0.610.401.000.600.55$6,150,000$1,800,0007.6y
8
Express Car Wash
car_wash
0.601.000.930.000.55$3,650,000$2,400,0006.1y
9
Indoor Pickleball Facility
pickleball_courts
0.590.400.720.700.60$4,650,000$1,100,00012.1y
10
Coffee Drive-Thru
coffee_drive_thru
0.571.000.870.000.50$1,350,000$1,400,0004.8y
11
Dog Daycare + Boarding
dog_daycare_boarding
0.570.300.810.700.55$1,400,000$850,0005.5y
12
Quick-Service Restaurant w/ Drive-Thru
qsr_drive_thru
0.460.730.730.000.45$2,950,000$2,200,0008.9y
13
Self-Storage Facility
self_storage
0.280.870.230.000.65$8,150,000$1,100,00013.5y

Interactive Map

Interactive layer map. Toggle layers in the top-right to see: the target site (red star), drive-time trade areas (5/10/15 min polygons from Mapbox), existing EV chargers within 3 mi (green = has DCFC), competitor POIs (clustered), and SCE grid circuits.

Site Fundamentals

Parcel-level facts about the property itself. Values labeled `—` couldn't be confirmed from free public sources and need a broker or title-company pull.

APN
4205001079
Owner
Lot size
33,786 sqft
Building
2,818 sqft
Zoning
2600
EV streamlined
Yes
Latitude
34.032439
Longitude
-118.373174

Trade Area & Traffic

How the site connects to its customer catchment. AADT = Annual Average Daily Traffic (vehicles/day, averaged across all 365 days). Rule of thumb: under 5k = residential side street; 10–25k = busy arterial (Adams Blvd is here); 30k+ = major urban arterial. The 15-min drive area is the Mapbox isochrone — not a circle — so it reflects real road-network reach.

Traffic stations pulled
54
Max AADT nearby
42,000
Avg AADT
13,351
Nearest station
0.02 mi
15-min drive area
59.5 sqmi
Isochrone provider
mapbox

EV Landscape

Existing EV charging supply around the site and the rebate stack available for new installs. DCFC port density in the 0.25/0.5/1-mile bands is the primary cannibalization signal for the EV DCFC vertical. DCFC = DC Fast Charging (50–350 kW, 15–45 min recharge, $50–150k/port equipment, needs utility upgrade). L2 = Level 2 (7–11 kW, 4–10 hr recharge, ~$10k/port install, used where the car is already parked for retail/dwell). They're different business models — DCFC sells speed to quick-turn drivers; L2 rides on a dwell tenant's foot traffic.

EV stations within 5 mi
1099
DCFC ports within 0.5 mi
0
DCFC ports within 1 mi
10
Total DCFC ports (5 mi)
349
Total L2 ports (5 mi)
3872
Rebate max per port
$60,000
LCFS $/kWh
$0.024
Nearest grid circuit
sce:Sherbourne:Windsor_Hills

Competitive Density (1-mile radius)

POI density within a 1-mile walk/drive of the site, by category. Ranked by count. High counts in a category mean saturation for *that* vertical — but dwell-friendly POIs (coffee, gym, hotel) also *boost* EV L2 scoring.

CategoryCountSaturation
restaurant43
qsr27
auto_service27
cafe17
convenience13
gym9
supermarket5
self_storage5
gas_station5
car_rental5
car_wash3
pharmacy2
hotel2
ev1
bank1

Demographics (Census Tract)

US Census ACS 5-year values for the census tract containing the site, plus CA DMV ZEV registration share for ZIP 90232. Income + ZEV adoption are the two strongest demand signals for EV verticals.

Tract population
4,541
Households
2,057
Median HHI
$129,911
Median age
36
Bachelor's+ rate
36%
Vehicles per HH
1.00
ZIP BEV registrations
1,270
ZIP ZEV share
13.5%

Incentive Stack

Stackable public incentives for EV charging sites. The engine assumes 30C + CALeVIP + SCE make-ready all apply — a best-case. A financial model should re-verify with a CALeVIP-approved integrator.

ProgramAdministrator$/site$/port$/kWhSource
culver_city_ev_permit_streamlinedCity of Culver City$0$0$0.000link
culver_city_commercial_zoning_generalCity of Culver City$0$0$0.000link
calevip_la_countyCALSTART / CEC$0$60,000$0.000link
federal_30c_commercialIRS$100,000$0$0.000link
sce_charge_ready_transportSouthern California Edison$500,000$0$0.000link
lcfs_creditCARB$0$0$0.024link

Data Sources (provenance)

Provenance audit — every data-source module, row count, and last-fetched timestamp. Empty tables indicate either a disabled source or a transient fetch failure (check logs/run_*.log).

Every data-source module, row count, and last-fetched timestamp
ModuleRowsLast fetched
parcel12026-04-22T01:19:17+00:00
traffic_counts542026-04-21T23:54:36+00:00
competitors13992026-04-21T23:00:38+00:00
ev_chargers11002026-04-21T23:00:39+00:00
demographics12026-04-21T23:02:03+00:00
ev_adoption12026-04-21T23:00:44+00:00
grid_capacity12026-04-22T00:01:31+00:00
rebates62026-04-21T23:00:58+00:00
real_estate_comps12026-04-21T23:00:58+00:00
crime_stats12026-04-21T23:00:59+00:00
solar_climate32026-04-21T23:00:59+00:00
trade_area62026-04-21T23:00:59+00:00
pois912026-04-21T23:01:03+00:00

Narrative

One-paragraph plain-English summary of the composite analysis. This is the text the engine would give a human reviewer asking 'what does it all mean?'

Overall 0.89. Top-3 verticals: ev_tesla_supercharger_business (0.89), ev_host_site_lease (0.82), ev_dcfc_hub (0.81). Grid readiness 1.00; cannibalization risk 0.35.

LCFS Ground-Truth Calibration

CARB's Low Carbon Fuel Standard registry is the authoritative list of every commercial EV charger in California. The demand model is now calibrated against this observed supply plus CARB's published statewide kWh/EV/day benchmark — replacing the earlier planning-grade capture rate.

Observed supply within 5 miles (CARB registry, Feb 2026)

LCFS L2 ports
4,540
LCFS Tesla DCFC ports
208
LCFS non-Tesla DCFC ports
133
Total DCFC ports
341

Calibrated demand math

VariableValueSource
Statewide kWh per PEV per day7.09CARB LRT benchmark (Q4 2024)
Public charging share of all EV charging20%industry consensus
DCFC share of public charging45%industry consensus
DCFC kWh per PEV per day0.64derived
ZIP 90232 PEVs (BEV + PHEV)1,714CA DMV
15-min catchment PEV estimate17,140ZIP × 10× drive-area multiplier
Catchment daily DCFC demand10,937 kWh/dayderived
Existing DCFC ports in 5 mi341LCFS registry
Regional DCFC capacity utilization26.7%demand / (ports × 120 kWh nominal)
Fair-share % for new 8-port site2.29%8 / (existing + 8)
Calibrated generic DCFC annual kWh91,508
Calibrated Tesla Supercharger annual kWh (2× fair share)183,015

Implication: the corridor is more saturated than NREL's station count showed. The LCFS-calibrated demand is lower than the uncalibrated capture-rate model produced, meaning earlier DCFC payback estimates were optimistic. Tesla-branded sites still enjoy a meaningful network-effect lift, but the fair-share math shows the ceiling is tighter than expected.

EV Site Options: Three Paths

Three distinct business models for EV charging at this parcel, with very different capital commitments and operational burdens.

Path Who owns hardware Who operates Who keeps session revenue Your capex
1. Host-site lease (Tesla/EVgo/EA) Network Network Network (you get $300–600/stall/mo rent) $0
2. Supercharger for Business (Tesla hybrid) You You (+ Tesla software backend) You (minus $0.10/kWh Tesla fee) ~$940k gross / ~$310k net after rebates
3. Own generic DCFC (ChargePoint/EVgo equipment) You You You $175–488k net
TESLA CONFIGURATOR · 2026-04-21 Tesla's own site-specific projection for 2926 La Cienega Blvd (8 stalls, V4, medium install)
Upfront investment
$940,000
Avg yearly revenue (15yr)
$1,128,924
Total revenue (15yr)
$16,933,862
Year 1 → Year 15 ramp
$600k → $1800k

These figures come from Tesla's configurator with ZIP 90232 selected. They reflect Tesla's internal utilization telemetry at comparable Culver City / West LA corridor sites — the single highest-confidence data source available for this specific property. The 15-year ramp (year-1 ~$600k, year-15 ~$1800k) captures EV adoption growth in the LA Basin.

⚠ These are Tesla's numbers. Tesla is incentivized to present favorable ROI to sell hardware. Independently, the LCFS-calibrated model (below) produces a more conservative ~$88k/yr revenue estimate from observed CA statewide charging data. Reality likely falls between — Tesla captures disproportionate share via app funnel + brand loyalty, but the fair-share view caps demand at the corridor's total PEV consumption.

Tesla Supercharger for Business — the new third path

Launched late 2025, public configurator live April 2026. ~$940k all-in for an 8-stall V4 site ($500k hardware + $440k installation). You arrange utility service, permits, civil work. You pay Tesla a flat $0.10/kWh that covers software, payment processing, 97% uptime SLA, driver support, and integration into the Tesla app's global Supercharger map (~3M US Tesla drivers). You set retail price and keep the margin above the $0.10 fee and your electricity cost. Tesla's own configurator reports 4-year payback for a San Francisco site and 7-year payback for Manhattan — Culver City's economics land between those.

Apply: tesla.com/supercharger-for-business · Coverage: Electrek, electrive, Drive Tesla.

📋 How to feed Tesla's configurator numbers back into this dashboard

Step 1. Visit tesla.com/supercharger-for-business and enter ZIP 90232. Select 8 stalls, V4, Medium install (the default).

Step 2. The configurator returns four key numbers: hardware cost, install cost, projected annual kWh dispensed, and payback years. Note each one.

Step 3. Open config.json and fill the tesla_configurator_override block:
"tesla_configurator_override": {
    "stalls": 8,
    "install_tier": "medium",
    "hardware_usd": 500000,
    "install_usd_per_stall": 55000,
    "annual_kwh_per_site": 420000,
    "retail_price_per_kwh": 0.48,
    "tesla_fee_per_kwh": 0.10,
    "payback_years_from_tesla_calculator": 5.2
}
Step 4. Re-run python scripts/full_pipeline.py --skip <long list> or just python scripts/build_web.py, then redeploy. The Tesla vertical will use your numbers and show [TESLA CONFIGURATOR] in the notes column instead of [modeled]. Tesla's WAF blocks scraping, so this manual step is the only way to pipe their proprietary site-specific output into the analysis.

Host-site lease programs (passive landlord)

If the operational burden is more than you want, every major EV charging network runs a host-site program where they bring 100% of capex and operations in exchange for ground rent. Typical deals: 8–12 stalls × $300–600/stall/month + occasional revenue share, 15–20 year term.

Network Typical min stalls Rent range / stall / month Apply to host
Tesla Supercharger 8–12 $400–$600 tesla.com/supercharger/new
Electrify America 4–6 $350–$500 electrifyamerica.com/partnerships
EVgo 4–8 $300–$450 evgo.com/about/partner-with-evgo
BP Pulse (Amply) 6–10 $300–$500 bppulse.com/contact
Shell Recharge 4–8 $300–$450 shell.us/electric-vehicles
ChargePoint Fleet Sites 4–12 $200–$400 chargepoint.com/businesses
Francis Energy 4–6 $300–$450 francisenergy.com/partners

Tactical suggestion: send the same one-page site brief to Tesla, EVgo, and Electrify America simultaneously. Each will come back with a letter of interest within 3–6 weeks. Stack the offers against each other and against the "own & operate" scenarios below.

Better EV Demand Data — Calibration Sources

The current demand model uses AADT × EV share × ~0.6% capture rate. That's planning-grade. These free sources let us replace that with real observed utilization from nearby operators, producing a much tighter forecast.

Source What it gives you Access
CARB LCFS Quarterly EVSE Reports Actual kWh dispensed per quarter at every public CA charger claiming LCFS credits. Ground truth. arb.ca.gov
NREL EVWatts Session-level data from 10,000+ publicly-funded ports nationally — sessions/day, kWh/session, time-of-day patterns. evwatts.nrel.gov
NREL EVI-Pro Lite Regional EV charging demand model. Input ZIP code + fleet assumptions, get DCFC/L2 demand projections 2025–2035. afdc.energy.gov/evi-pro-lite
PlugShare User check-ins, ratings, wait-time complaints per nearby station. Crowd-sourced signal. plugshare.com (scrapable)
ChargePoint public reports Anonymized quarterly session data for their ~230k port network. chargepoint.com/about/reports
CEC California Energy Demand 2024 Forecast Regional EV load projections through 2040 by county. CSV download. cec.ca.gov

The single highest-value add is CARB LCFS quarterly data. Every existing DCFC within 3 miles (there are ~125) reports exact kWh dispensed each quarter. Pulling that replaces the guessed capture rate with an operator-observed number for this specific corridor. If you want the engine calibrated to real data, this ingest is on the backlog.

EV DCFC Hub — Detailed Financial Breakdown

Two scenarios for the property's strongest vertical. The engine's model gives an optimistic number (full rebate stack, no demand charges). The Realistic column adds line items operators actually pay (SCE demand charges, insurance, card-interchange, property tax) and applies honest rebate eligibility. Federal 30C does not apply at this tract — the Culver City tract has $130k median HHI so it fails the low-income / non-urban test.

2-Port DCFC Hub

Annual kWh dispensed: 245,388

Capital costs (gross)

Line itemCost
Equipment (150 kW DCFC units, canopy, signage)$117,600
Site & civil (pads, trenching, ADA)$53,200
Electrical infrastructure (transformer, switchgear, service upgrade)$56,000
Soft costs (engineering, permits, Rule 21)$16,800
Contingency (15%)$42,000
Partial demo of 2,818 sqft building$40,000
Gross capex all-in$325,600

Rebate stack

ProgramEngine optimisticRealistic
CALeVIP LA County ($60,000 × 2 ports)$120,000
SCE Charge Ready 2 (make-ready)$42,000
Federal 30C tax creditengine assumes ~$84k$0 ⚠
Total rebates$254,400$162,000

Annual opex (realistic)

Line itemCost
Energy cost (245,388 kWh × $0.16)$39,262
SCE demand charges (peak kW × $20–30 × 12mo)$20,000
Maintenance (2 ports × $6,000/yr)$12,000
Network software (2 ports × $2,400/yr)$4,800
Insurance (GL + property)$9,000
Credit-card interchange (2.4% of gross)$3,239
Property tax (1.2% of capex basis)$1,963
Total opex$90,264

Returns — the honest bottom line

Engine optimisticRealistic
Annual revenue$140,852$140,852
Annual opex$56,062$90,264
Annual net income (pre-tax)$84,790$50,588
Net capex all-in$65,600$163,600
Simple payback0.8 y3.2 y
Year-1 cash-on-cash129.3%30.9%

4-Port DCFC Hub

Annual kWh dispensed: 306,734

Capital costs (gross)

Line itemCost
Equipment (150 kW DCFC units, canopy, signage)$235,200
Site & civil (pads, trenching, ADA)$106,400
Electrical infrastructure (transformer, switchgear, service upgrade)$112,000
Soft costs (engineering, permits, Rule 21)$33,600
Contingency (15%)$84,000
Partial demo of 2,818 sqft building$40,000
Gross capex all-in$611,200

Rebate stack

ProgramEngine optimisticRealistic
CALeVIP LA County ($60,000 × 4 ports)$240,000
SCE Charge Ready 2 (make-ready)$84,000
Federal 30C tax creditengine assumes ~$84k$0 ⚠
Total rebates$440,800$324,000

Annual opex (realistic)

Line itemCost
Energy cost (306,734 kWh × $0.16)$49,078
SCE demand charges (peak kW × $20–30 × 12mo)$40,000
Maintenance (4 ports × $6,000/yr)$24,000
Network software (4 ports × $2,400/yr)$9,600
Insurance (GL + property)$9,000
Credit-card interchange (2.4% of gross)$4,049
Property tax (1.2% of capex basis)$3,446
Total opex$139,173

Returns — the honest bottom line

Engine optimisticRealistic
Annual revenue$176,066$176,066
Annual opex$82,678$139,173
Annual net income (pre-tax)$93,388$36,893
Net capex all-in$159,200$287,200
Simple payback1.7 y7.8 y
Year-1 cash-on-cash58.7%12.8%

What could move these numbers

LeverImpact
Fleet anchor contract (DoorDash/Uber/Lyft driver program)+$10–20k/yr net
LCFS credit price recovers from $60 → $100+$8k/yr net
Battery-buffered dispensing to shave SCE demand charges+$10–15k/yr net
Triple-net lease of the existing 2,818 sqft building (coffee/convenience)+$60–100k/yr rent
Larger SCE service upgrade than expected−$25k (one-time)

Single most important next step

File the SCE Rule 21 Fast Track pre-application (free, ~2-week turnaround) for this specific parcel. It gives you a written hosting-capacity letter, confirms demand-charge exposure, and is required for both CALeVIP and any federal credit filings. Without that letter, the net-capex number floats ±$50k.